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05 Aug 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.7%
Gresley
29.6%
Draw
38.7%
Eastwood Community

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Gresley

vs
1.08

Eastwood Community

Markets

BTTS40.1%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.6%
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
12.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).