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07 Apr 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.6%
Dunkerque
21.7%
Draw
24.7%
Guingamp

Expected Goals (xG)

1.76

Dunkerque

vs
1.10

Guingamp

Markets

BTTS54.4%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.0%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
0-0
4.8%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).