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DHT: 00CSV

07 May 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.1%
Empoli
25.6%
Draw
46.3%
Cremonese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Empoli

vs
1.74

Cremonese

Markets

BTTS61.6%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
7.1%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
5.1%
0-3
4.1%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).