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22 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.1%
Rotherham
18.4%
Draw
72.5%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

Rotherham

vs
2.28

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS45.8%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.2%
0-1
10.9%
0-3
10.0%
1-2
9.2%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
7.0%
0-0
5.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-4
4.0%
2-2
3.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).