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HHT: 10CSV

05 Mar 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.3%
Valladolid
21.9%
Draw
59.8%
Espanol

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Valladolid

vs
2.00

Espanol

Markets

BTTS55.5%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
1-2
10.0%
0-2
9.8%
0-1
9.5%
1-3
6.6%
0-3
6.5%
0-0
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-3
3.4%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).