Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.1%
Las Palmas
20.9%
Draw
10.0%
Villarreal B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Las Palmas
vs
0.53
Villarreal B
Markets
BTTS34.3%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
2-0
15.9%
3-0
9.7%
0-0
9.4%
1-1
9.0%
2-1
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
2.4%
4-1
2.3%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).