Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.7%
Bochum
26.0%
Draw
48.3%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Bochum
vs
1.67
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
8.2%
0-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).