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28 Jan 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.8%
AFC Wimbledon
28.2%
Draw
43.1%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

AFC Wimbledon

vs
1.20

Stockport

Markets

BTTS41.6%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.9%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
11.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).