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18 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.3%
Torquay
23.6%
Draw
22.1%
Eastleigh

Expected Goals (xG)

1.95

Torquay

vs
1.19

Eastleigh

Markets

BTTS60.6%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).