Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
Amorebieta
28.1%
Draw
39.8%
Sociedad B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Amorebieta
vs
1.22
Sociedad B
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
12.5%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).