Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.6%
Sociedad
26.6%
Draw
42.8%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Sociedad
vs
1.44
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
7.6%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).