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29 Mar 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.9%
Accrington
28.7%
Draw
39.4%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Accrington

vs
1.13

Bradford

Markets

BTTS41.8%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.2%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).