Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.5%
Notts County
26.8%
Draw
24.7%
Barnet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Notts County
vs
0.87
Barnet
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).