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28 Aug 2021 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.9%
Yeni Malatyaspor
30.3%
Draw
51.8%
Gaziantep

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Yeni Malatyaspor

vs
1.65

Gaziantep

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
10.6%
0-2
10.5%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).