Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Sunderland
33.9%
Draw
20.5%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Sunderland
vs
0.72
West Brom
Markets
BTTS37.7%
Over 0.583.6%
Over 1.559.0%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.4%
1-0
15.8%
1-1
14.4%
2-0
10.5%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
4.6%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).