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AHT: 00CSV

18 Mar 2023 · 18:00

Metz

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.4%
Quevilly Rouen
19.5%
Draw
57.1%
Metz

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Quevilly Rouen

vs
2.09

Metz

Markets

BTTS62.1%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.5%
0-1
8.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-3
4.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).