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11 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.1%
Motor Lublin
28.2%
Draw
40.7%
Raków Częstochowa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Motor Lublin

vs
1.41

Raków Częstochowa

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).