Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.1%
Osasuna
23.5%
Draw
20.4%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Osasuna
vs
1.02
Elche
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
0-0
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
5.9%
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
3-2
3.1%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).