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01 Feb 2026 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.9%
Standard
30.6%
Draw
43.6%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Standard

vs
1.21

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS41.0%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.8%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
13.1%
1-0
10.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).