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18 Jan 2026 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.7%
St Truiden
25.5%
Draw
21.8%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

St Truiden

vs
1.01

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Markets

BTTS52.4%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).