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12 Aug 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.3%
Bridlington Town
27.8%
Draw
31.9%
Crawley Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Bridlington Town

vs
1.04

Crawley Town

Markets

BTTS44.8%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).