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03 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.5%
Ross County
28.9%
Draw
25.5%
St Johnstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Ross County

vs
0.97

St Johnstone

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).