Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Middlesbrough
27.1%
Draw
25.0%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Middlesbrough
vs
1.08
Norwich
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).