Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Djurgården
26.6%
Draw
26.7%
Malmö FF
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Djurgården
vs
1.21
Malmö FF
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).