Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.6%
Oviedo
33.9%
Draw
39.5%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Oviedo
vs
1.00
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS34.1%
Over 0.582.4%
Over 1.553.0%
Over 2.525.9%
Over 3.510.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.6%
0-1
16.7%
1-1
13.5%
1-0
12.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-0
5.0%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).