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AHT: 11CSV

12 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.6%
Wycombe
18.0%
Draw
11.3%
Accrington

Expected Goals (xG)

2.00

Wycombe

vs
0.62

Accrington

Markets

BTTS39.4%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.3%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.3%
4-0
4.8%
4-1
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).