Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.1%
Elche
29.8%
Draw
25.1%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Elche
vs
0.81
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).