Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.2%
Benfica
14.7%
Draw
6.1%
Vitória Guimarães
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
Benfica
vs
0.61
Vitória Guimarães
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.8%
3-0
11.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
4-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
1-1
7.0%
0-0
4.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-0
3.9%
2-2
2.5%
5-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).