Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
Sevilla
24.4%
Draw
37.0%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Sevilla
vs
1.56
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS63.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
2-0
5.4%
0-2
5.2%
0-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).