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25 Aug 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.7%
Rukh Vynnyky
28.9%
Draw
48.3%
Zorya Luhansk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Rukh Vynnyky

vs
1.34

Zorya Luhansk

Markets

BTTS41.8%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.0%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
11.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).