Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.8%
Hearts
18.3%
Draw
6.9%
St Johnstone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Hearts
vs
0.50
St Johnstone
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.4%
1-0
15.0%
3-0
11.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
7.8%
4-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
3.1%
4-1
3.0%
5-0
2.6%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).