Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.3%
Auxerre
21.6%
Draw
16.1%
Dijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Auxerre
vs
0.72
Dijon
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
7.9%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).