Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.9%
Spezia
27.9%
Draw
18.3%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Spezia
vs
0.81
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).