Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.3%
İstanbul Başakşehir
27.9%
Draw
17.8%
Samsunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
İstanbul Başakşehir
vs
1.02
Samsunspor
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
3-2
3.1%
0-1
3.1%
0-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).