Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.8%
Metz
19.5%
Draw
62.7%
Strasbourg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Metz
vs
2.15
Strasbourg
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.4%
0-1
9.0%
1-1
8.9%
1-3
7.1%
0-3
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
1-0
4.5%
1-4
3.8%
0-0
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).