Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.2%
Almeria
20.2%
Draw
21.6%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Almeria
vs
1.26
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS63.2%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.544.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
3-2
4.4%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.8%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).