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20 Apr 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.1%
Rodez
20.9%
Draw
55.0%
Auxerre

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Rodez

vs
1.87

Auxerre

Markets

BTTS56.8%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
6.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
0-3
5.3%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
3.5%
2-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).