Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Oxford
29.0%
Draw
33.2%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Oxford
vs
1.21
Leicester
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.4%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).