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DHT: 01

01 Dec 2024 · 12:30

Genk

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.5%
Sint-Truiden
23.8%
Draw
29.7%
Genk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Sint-Truiden

vs
1.40

Genk

Markets

BTTS63.1%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
1-0
7.0%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
0-0
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).