Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Jagiellonia Białystok
26.9%
Draw
27.2%
Katowice
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Jagiellonia Białystok
vs
1.18
Katowice
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
7.9%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).