Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
Carlisle
26.3%
Draw
47.3%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Carlisle
vs
1.38
Colchester
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.7%
0-2
9.2%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).