Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.9%
Fulham
13.8%
Draw
6.4%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
2.79
Fulham
vs
0.71
Reading
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.567.9%
Over 3.546.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
3-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
7.6%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-0
4.2%
0-0
3.5%
5-1
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).