Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.3%
Atalanta
23.1%
Draw
12.6%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Atalanta
vs
0.58
Parma
Markets
BTTS35.4%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.8%
2-0
14.8%
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
8.2%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-0
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
4-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).