Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Wigan
25.4%
Draw
41.4%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Wigan
vs
1.28
Reading
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.8%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
8.0%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).