Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Augsburg
29.5%
Draw
31.3%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Augsburg
vs
1.12
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).