Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.4%
Motherwell
15.2%
Draw
7.4%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
Motherwell
vs
0.67
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.539.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
3-0
11.0%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
7.3%
4-0
7.0%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
5-0
3.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).