Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.8%
Sociedad
18.0%
Draw
13.2%
Cultural Leonesa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Sociedad
vs
0.89
Cultural Leonesa
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
1-1
8.4%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
4-1
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).