Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Zaragoza
27.2%
Draw
22.5%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Zaragoza
vs
0.83
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).