Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.4%
Blackpool
23.3%
Draw
23.3%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Blackpool
vs
0.93
Northampton
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).