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AHT: 01CSV

18 Jan 2026 · 20:00

Malaga

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.0%
Cordoba
24.0%
Draw
37.0%
Malaga

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Cordoba

vs
1.49

Malaga

Markets

BTTS60.6%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.6%
0-1
7.4%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
0-2
5.4%
0-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).